Outsourcing Surveillance: Online Opinion Management in China
(Cambridge University Press, Elements Series in Political Economy, 2026)
The digital age has afforded autocratic governments new technologies of control, allowing them to co-opt, pre-empt and repress dissent. But, what if they lack the technical capacity to access digital tools of control? In what ways have digital technologies altered the way autocratic governments conduct statecraft? Based on an analysis of more than 3,000 public procurement documents, and a dozen elite interviews with various stakeholders, we found that the Chinese state has outsourced various functions of online surveillance to private and for-profit arms of state-owned corporations. We found that outsourcing surveillance is intended to augment state technical capacity to moderate and fine-tune the conduct of digital repression. Outsourcing digital repression opens a Pandora's box of state-business collaborations. This Element contributes to the literature on outsourcing repression, state‒business relations, and conduct of digital statecraft.
Related Essays
Journal of Democracy, July 2026
This essay argues that the effectiveness of China’s online censorship springs not from the party-state’s bureaucratic capacity but from its ability to coopt market forces. What began as the rumored “fifty-cent army” of idle posters has grown into a profit-making industry worth hundreds of millions of dollars a year, as Chinese Communist Party committees and government agencies outsource digital surveillance and opinion management to private firms. These companies detect “sensitive” words, flood platforms with propaganda, and suppress troublesome posts with a technical precision the state lacks on its own—letting some discussion continue while stopping the rest, and heading off “online mass incidents” before they spill into the streets. The arrangement, the author concludes, does not bode well for dissent: Surveillance is becoming more precise and preemptive, and so long as businesses find it profitable to collaborate, society will struggle to find a counterweight to market-enhanced digital repression.
Book Presentations
Upcoming Talks
Institute for Chinese Studies, Free Berlin University (virtual), November 2026
Jifeng Bookstore, Washington DC, August 2026
Stimson Center, Washington DC, August 2026
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University of Oxford China Centre, June 2026
SOAS University of London, China Institute, June 2026
The Government of Canada Security Summit 2026, Ottawa, May 2026
Young China Watchers, King’s College London, London, February 2026
Global and Local Development (GLD) Annual Conference (virtual), November 2025
The Democracy Forum, London (virtual), November 2025
“Building Resilience: Canada’s Engagement with the Indo-Pacific on Non-traditional Security Threats”, Thompson Rivers University, Kamloops, B.C. (virtual), October 2025
“Digital Transnational Repression in the Age of AI”, Opening Symposium of G7 Ministerial Meeting, Toronto, October 2025
“G7 Rapid Response Mechanism Focal Points Meeting”, Global Affairs Canada, Vancouver, June 2025